The strategy for predicting market tail ends is gaining more and more attention. Previously, when I was scoring on Limitless, I used this method, but the smaller the market, the lower the capacity. For example, Polymarket and Limitless offer many predictions for the short-term prices of mainstream coins, usually whether the price will be above/below a certain level before XX time ends. I specifically look for those Ending Soon markets; although the probabilities for these soon-to-end markets are mostly above 95%, they are low-risk and can be quickly settled. Previously, I tested on Limitless, investing ~10u at a 99.8% probability, ultimately making a profit of 0.02u (a profit of 0.2%); at 99.1%, I could make a profit of 0.12u. If I encounter some mispriced markets, that's a win. However, the capacity is still quite limited; for example, on Limitless, a single market with around 100u is about the limit, so this strategy is very important for the variety of prediction markets.
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